International Migration in Europe: Data, Models and Estimates

At present there is no unified treatment, drawing together models to allow a consistent and reliable set of migration flows, across countries. This text seeks to do exactly that, potentially improving policies, planning and understanding about migration processes worldwide, via the presentation of migration estimation and modeling techniques. These modeling techniques are explored from both frequentist and Bayesian perspectives. The vital concepts such as missing data and collection methods (and their possible harmonization) are discussed in depth, and there are whole chapters dedicated to both modeling asylum flows and forecasts about the future of international migration.Content: Chapter 1 Introduction and Outline (pages 1–8): James Raymer and Frans WillekensChapter 2 Counting Foreign?Born and Expatriates in OECD Countries: A New Perspective (pages 9–40): Jean?Christophe Dumont and Georges LemaitreChapter 3 Comparability of Statistics on International Migration Flows in the European Union (pages 41–71): Dorota Kupiszewska and Beata NowokChapter 4 Evolution of International Migration Statistics in Selected Central European Countries (pages 73–87): Beata NowokChapter 5 Foreign Migrants in Southern European Countries: Evaluation of Recent Data (pages 89–114): Alessio CangianoChapter 6 Models of Migration: Observations and Judgements (pages 115–147): Frans WillekensChapter 7 Bayesian Estimation of Migration Flows (pages 149–174): Matthew J. Brierley, Jonathan J. Forster, John W. McDonald and Peter W. F. SmithChapter 8 Applying Model Migration Schedules to Represent Age?Specific Migration Flows (pages 175–192): James Raymer and Andrei RogersChapter 9 Models for Migration Age Schedules: A Bayesian Perspective with an Application to Flows between Scotland and England (pages 193–205): Peter CongdonChapter 10 Obtaining an Overall Picture of Population Movement in the European Union (pages 207–234): James RaymerChapter 11 A Simple Method for Inferring Substitution and Generation from Gross Flows: Asylum Seekers in Europe (pages 235–251): Leo van Wissen and Roel JennissenChapter 12 Bayesian Methods in International Migration Forecasting (pages 253–281): Jakub BijakChapter 13 Forecasting International Migration: Time Series Projections vs Argument?Based Forecasts (pages 283–306): Joop de BeerChapter 14 International Migration Component in Population Dynamics Models (pages 307–327): Marek Kupiszewski and Dorota KupiszewskaChapter 15 What Happens When International Migrants Settle? Projections of Ethnic Groups in United Kingdom Regions (pages 329–358): Philip ReesChapter 16 Conclusion (pages 359–369): Frans Willekens and James Raymer