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    3. The Plausibility of Future Scenarios: Conceptualising an Unexplored Criterion in Scenario Planning

    The Plausibility of Future Scenarios: Conceptualising an Unexplored Criterion in Scenario Planning

    Posted By: roxul
    Date: 5 May 2024 05:32:46
    The Plausibility of Future Scenarios: Conceptualising an Unexplored Criterion in Scenario Planning

    Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele, "The Plausibility of Future Scenarios: Conceptualising an Unexplored Criterion in Scenario Planning "
    English | ISBN: 3837653196 | 2021 | 264 pages | PDF | 8 MB

    What does plausibility mean in relation to scenario planning and how do users of scenarios assess it? Despite the concept's ubiquity, its epistemological and empirical foundations remain unexplored in previous research.
    Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele offers an interdisciplinary perspective: she presents approaches from philosophy of sciences, cognitive psychology, narrative theory and linguistics, and tests key hypotheses in an experimental study. A conceptual map lays out indicators for scenario plausibility and explains how assessments vary across scenario methods. This helps researchers and practitioners to better understand the implications of their methodological choices in scenario development.
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