Foundations of Trading: Developing Profitable Trading Systems using Scientific Techniques

The trader's universal goal:

To have confidence that the signals generated by the trading system precede trades that provide rewards adequate to compensate for the risk.

… The key word is confidence.
… The primary limitation is risk.

This book presents an approach to developing profitable trading systems using scientific techniques, melding together several key aspects:

… Personal risk tolerance.
… Profit potential of the financial issue being traded.
… Data analysis.
… Adjusting the model to fit the data.
… Validation to estimate future performance.
… Comparing alternative use of funds.
… Determining whether the system is working or broken.
… Computing a proper position size to maximize account growth while holding drawdown within the trader's tolerance.